World Cup 2026 · Team

Canada World Cup 2026 Projections

Monte Carlo tournament simulation · 10,000 bracket runs · updated daily

Eliminated — Round of 16

Tournament Outlook

1841
Elo rating
0.0%
Champion
0.0%
Reach final
0.0%
Reach semis
0.0%
Reach quarters

Canada Match Predictions & Results

DateStageOpponentMatch PredictionResult
2026-06-12First Stagevs Bosnia and HerzegovinaBosnia and Herzegovina vs CanadaD 1–1
2026-06-18First Stagevs QatarQatar vs CanadaW 6–0
2026-06-24First Stage@ SwitzerlandCanada vs SwitzerlandL 1–2
2026-06-28Round of 32@ South AfricaCanada vs South AfricaW 1–0
2026-07-04Round of 16vs MoroccoMorocco vs CanadaL 0–3
How these projections are generated: every Canada fixture is modeled with an Elo-seeded Dixon-Coles bivariate-Poisson engine, then the full 48-team bracket is Monte Carlo simulated (10,000 runs) for champion and advancement odds. Probabilities are Bayesian-calibrated. Tournament hub → · How the Soccer model works → · Full methodology →