Tournament Outlook
1864
Elo rating
1.1%
Champion
2.7%
Reach final
7.6%
Reach semis
20.2%
Reach quarters
Switzerland Match Predictions & Results
| Date | Stage | Opponent | Match Prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | First Stage | @ Qatar | Switzerland vs Qatar | D 1–1 |
| 2026-06-18 | First Stage | vs Bosnia and Herzegovina | Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Switzerland | W 4–1 |
| 2026-06-24 | First Stage | vs Canada | Canada vs Switzerland | W 2–1 |
| 2026-07-02 | Round of 32 | vs Algeria | Algeria vs Switzerland | W 2–0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Round of 16 | vs Colombia | Colombia vs Switzerland | D 0–0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Quarter-final | @ Argentina | Switzerland vs Argentina | L 1–3 |
How these projections are generated: every Switzerland fixture is modeled with an
Elo-seeded Dixon-Coles bivariate-Poisson engine,
then the full 48-team bracket is Monte Carlo simulated (10,000 runs) for champion and
advancement odds. Probabilities are Bayesian-calibrated.
Tournament hub → ·
How the Soccer model works → ·
Full methodology →