World Cup 2026 · Team

Qatar World Cup 2026 Projections

Monte Carlo tournament simulation · 10,000 bracket runs · updated daily

Eliminated — Group Stage

Tournament Outlook

1551
Elo rating
0.0%
Champion
0.0%
Reach final
0.0%
Reach semis
0.0%
Reach quarters

Qatar Match Predictions & Results

DateStageOpponentMatch PredictionResult
2026-06-13First Stagevs SwitzerlandSwitzerland vs QatarD 1–1
2026-06-18First Stage@ CanadaQatar vs CanadaL 0–6
2026-06-24First Stage@ Bosnia and HerzegovinaQatar vs Bosnia and HerzegovinaL 1–3
How these projections are generated: every Qatar fixture is modeled with an Elo-seeded Dixon-Coles bivariate-Poisson engine, then the full 48-team bracket is Monte Carlo simulated (10,000 runs) for champion and advancement odds. Probabilities are Bayesian-calibrated. Tournament hub → · How the Soccer model works → · Full methodology →