Tournament Outlook
1937
Elo rating
1.8%
Champion
4.6%
Reach final
10.9%
Reach semis
23.4%
Reach quarters
Germany Match Predictions & Results
| Date | Stage | Opponent | Match Prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | First Stage | vs Curaçao | Curaçao vs Germany | W 7–1 |
| 2026-06-20 | First Stage | vs Ivory Coast | Ivory Coast vs Germany | W 2–1 |
| 2026-06-25 | First Stage | @ Ecuador | Germany vs Ecuador | L 1–2 |
| 2026-06-29 | Round of 32 | vs Paraguay | Paraguay vs Germany | D 1–1 |
How these projections are generated: every Germany fixture is modeled with an
Elo-seeded Dixon-Coles bivariate-Poisson engine,
then the full 48-team bracket is Monte Carlo simulated (10,000 runs) for champion and
advancement odds. Probabilities are Bayesian-calibrated.
Tournament hub → ·
How the Soccer model works → ·
Full methodology →