Tournament Outlook
1841
Elo rating
0.0%
Champion
0.0%
Reach final
0.0%
Reach semis
0.0%
Reach quarters
Ecuador Match Predictions & Results
| Date | Stage | Opponent | Match Prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | First Stage | @ Ivory Coast | Ecuador vs Ivory Coast | L 0–1 |
| 2026-06-20 | First Stage | vs Curaçao | Curaçao vs Ecuador | D 0–0 |
| 2026-06-25 | First Stage | vs Germany | Germany vs Ecuador | W 2–1 |
| 2026-06-30 | Round of 32 | @ Mexico | Ecuador vs Mexico | L 0–2 |
How these projections are generated: every Ecuador fixture is modeled with an
Elo-seeded Dixon-Coles bivariate-Poisson engine,
then the full 48-team bracket is Monte Carlo simulated (10,000 runs) for champion and
advancement odds. Probabilities are Bayesian-calibrated.
Tournament hub → ·
How the Soccer model works → ·
Full methodology →