Tournament Outlook
1691
Elo rating
0.1%
Champion
0.2%
Reach final
1.0%
Reach semis
3.8%
Reach quarters
Tunisia Match Predictions & Results
| Date | Stage | Opponent | Match Prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | First Stage | @ Sweden | Tunisia vs Sweden | L 1–5 |
| 2026-06-20 | First Stage | vs Japan | Japan vs Tunisia | FT |
| 2026-06-25 | First Stage | vs Netherlands | Netherlands vs Tunisia | L 1–3 |
How these projections are generated: every Tunisia fixture is modeled with an
Elo-seeded Dixon-Coles bivariate-Poisson engine,
then the full 48-team bracket is Monte Carlo simulated (10,000 runs) for champion and
advancement odds. Probabilities are Bayesian-calibrated.
Tournament hub → ·
How the Soccer model works → ·
Full methodology →