World Cup 2026 · Team

Sweden World Cup 2026 Projections

Monte Carlo tournament simulation · 10,000 bracket runs · updated daily

Eliminated — Round of 32

Tournament Outlook

1745
Elo rating
0.0%
Champion
0.0%
Reach final
0.0%
Reach semis
0.0%
Reach quarters

Sweden Match Predictions & Results

DateStageOpponentMatch PredictionResult
2026-06-14First Stagevs TunisiaTunisia vs SwedenW 5–1
2026-06-20First Stage@ NetherlandsSweden vs NetherlandsL 1–5
2026-06-25First Stage@ JapanSweden vs JapanD 1–1
2026-06-30Round of 32@ FranceSweden vs FranceL 0–3
How these projections are generated: every Sweden fixture is modeled with an Elo-seeded Dixon-Coles bivariate-Poisson engine, then the full 48-team bracket is Monte Carlo simulated (10,000 runs) for champion and advancement odds. Probabilities are Bayesian-calibrated. Tournament hub → · How the Soccer model works → · Full methodology →