Arkansas State Red vs Alabama prediction for November 6, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Alabama 103.0 - Arkansas State Red 68.9. Alabama is favored with a 99.0% win probability. The spread is -25.5 and the total is 178.5.
Alabama
103.0
Projected Score
VS
O/U 178.5
Arkansas State Red
68.9
Projected Score
Win Probability
AlabamaArkansas State Red
-25.5
Spread (Alabama)
178.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 99.0% (4,047 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Arkansas State Red
586980
Alabama
92103114
Spread Analysis
Totals Analysis
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded CBB 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the CBB 2026 season report card.