Chattanooga vs Penn State prediction for November 5, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Penn State 87.0 - Chattanooga 66.1. Penn State is favored with a 96.8% win probability. The spread is -12.5 and the total is 159.5.
Penn State
87.0
Projected Score
VS
O/U 159.5
Chattanooga
66.1
Projected Score
Win Probability
Penn StateChattanooga
-12.5
Spread (Penn State)
159.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 98.6% (4,047 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Chattanooga
576675
Penn State
788796
Projected
Penn State 87.0 — Chattanooga 66.1
Actual
Penn State 97 — Chattanooga 93
Spread Analysis
Totals Analysis
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded CBB 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the CBB 2026 season report card.