Northern Kentucky vs South Dakota prediction for November 4, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects South Dakota 77.9 - Northern Kentucky 78.1. South Dakota is favored with a 50.2% win probability. South Dakota wins more simulations despite the lower average score. The spread is 2.5 and the total is 163.5.
South Dakota
77.9
Projected Score
VS
O/U 163.5
Northern Kentucky
78.1
Projected Score
Win Probability
South DakotaNorthern Kentucky
+2.5
Spread (South Dakota)
163.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 49.7% (4,047 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Northern Kentucky
687888
South Dakota
687888
Spread Analysis
Totals Analysis
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded CBB 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the CBB 2026 season report card.