Notre Dame vs Villanova prediction for November 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Villanova 74.4 - Notre Dame 66.2. Villanova is favored with a 78.5% win probability. The spread is -7.5 and the total is 145.5.
Villanova
74.4
Projected Score
VS
O/U 145.5
Notre Dame
66.2
Projected Score
Win Probability
VillanovaNotre Dame
-7.5
Spread (Villanova)
145.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 73.7% (4,047 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Notre Dame
576675
Villanova
657484
Projected
Villanova 74.4 — Notre Dame 66.2
Actual
Villanova 72 — Notre Dame 74
Spread Analysis
Totals Analysis
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Basketball Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded CBB 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the CBB 2026 season report card.