Colorado State vs Texas State prediction for October 15, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Texas State 43.1 - Colorado State 29.2. Texas State is favored with a 81.6% win probability. The spread is -14.0 and the total is 71.5.
Texas State
43.1
Projected Score
VS
O/U 71.5
Colorado State
29.2
Projected Score
Win Probability
Texas StateColorado State
-14.0
Spread (Texas State)
71.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 81.9% (1,000 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Colorado State
222936
Texas State
364350
Market Lines
Spread
Texas State -14.0
Total
71.5
Moneyline
-575
Away +425
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Football Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →