East Carolina vs UAB prediction for October 15, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects UAB 20.4 - East Carolina 27.9. East Carolina is favored with a 68.4% win probability. The spread is 4.5 and the total is 47.5.
UAB
20.4
Projected Score
VS
O/U 47.5
East Carolina
27.9
Projected Score
Win Probability
UABEast Carolina
+4.5
Spread (UAB)
47.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 73.5% (1,000 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
East Carolina
212835
UAB
132028
Market Lines
Spread
UAB +4.5
Total
47.5
Moneyline
+160
Away -192
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Football Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →