Casey, Paul vs Elvira Mijares, Ignacio prediction for September 6, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Elvira Mijares, Ignacio 0 - Casey, Paul 3. Casey, Paul is favored with a 68.5% win probability. The spread is 0.06.
Elvira Mijares, Ignacio
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Omega European Masters
Casey, Paul
-0.14
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Elvira Mijares, IgnacioCasey, Paul
-111
Best Odds
Tournament Context
Event
Omega European Masters
Course
Crans-sur-Sierre GC
Field
156 players
Player Profile — Casey, Paul
Strokes Gained
-0.14/round
Below Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.051 SG adj
Expected Finish
3th / 156
Matchup Analysis
Casey, Paul
-0.14 SG
EF 3th
Skill Gap
+0.06 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Elvira Mijares, Ignacio
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded GOLF 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the GOLF 2026 season report card.