Frittelli, Dylan vs Streelman, Kevin prediction for October 21, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Streelman, Kevin 85 - Frittelli, Dylan 66. Frittelli, Dylan is favored with a 50.6% win probability. Frittelli, Dylan wins more simulations despite the lower average score. The spread is 0.2.
Streelman, Kevin
-0.20
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Frittelli, Dylan
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Streelman, KevinFrittelli, Dylan
+145
Best Odds
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Frittelli, Dylan
596673
Streelman, Kevin
788592
Tournament Context
Event
Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Course
Port Royal Golf Course
Field
120 players
Wind
19 mph
Temp
78°F
Conditions
harder (+1.1)
Matchup Analysis
Frittelli, Dylan
+0.00 SG
EF 66th
Skill Gap
+0.20 SG/round
tight skill advantage for Frittelli, Dylan
Streelman, Kevin
-0.20 SG
EF 85th · Below Avg
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded GOLF 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the GOLF 2026 season report card.