Ghim, Doug vs Cole, Eric prediction for July 8, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Cole, Eric 104 - Ghim, Doug 93. Ghim, Doug is favored with a 58.7% win probability. The spread is -0.29.
Cole, Eric
+0.67
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Genesis Scottish Open
Ghim, Doug
+0.62
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Cole, EricGhim, Doug
+100
Best Odds
+17.4%
Edge
1.5u HIGH
Sizing
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Ghim, Doug
8693100
Cole, Eric
97104111
Tournament Context
Event
Genesis Scottish Open
Course
The Renaissance Club
Field
156 players
Wind
14 mph
Temp
68°F
Conditions
harder (+0.7)
Player Profile — Ghim, Doug
Strokes Gained
+0.62/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.065 SG adj
Expected Finish
93th / 156
Matchup Analysis
Ghim, Doug
+0.62 SG
EF 93th
Skill Gap
-0.29 SG/round
tight edge for Cole, Eric
Cole, Eric
+0.67 SG
EF 104th · Above Avg
Edge Breakdown
Our Model
58.7%
Books Say
50.0%
Edge
+17.4%
Ghim, Doug vs Cole, Eric: Model gives Ghim, Doug 58.7% win probability vs 50.0% implied (+17.4% edge). Skill advantage: -0.29 SG/round. Expected finish: 93.
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Ghim, Doug 58.7%
+17.4 pts
Spread
-0.3
+17.4 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded Golf 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the Golf 2026 season report card.