PGA Tour Golf

Higgo, Garrick vs Horschel, Billy Prediction

July 22, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Higgo, Garrick vs Horschel, Billy prediction for July 22, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Horschel, Billy 98 - Higgo, Garrick 99. Higgo, Garrick is favored with a 58.9% win probability. The spread is -0.32.

Horschel, Billy
+0.21
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • 3M Open
Higgo, Garrick
-0.27
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
41.1%
58.9%
Horschel, BillyHiggo, Garrick
+101
Best Odds
FINALHorschel, Billy (T11) def Higgo, Garrick (T102)

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

Higgo, Garrick
9299106
Horschel, Billy
9198105

Tournament Context

Event
3M Open
Course
TPC Twin Cities
Field
144 players
Wind
11 mph
Temp
88°F
Conditions
harder (+0.5)

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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded Golf 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the Golf 2026 season report card.

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