Hirata, Kensei vs Dumont De Chassart, Adrien prediction for October 31, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Dumont De Chassart, Adrien 41 - Hirata, Kensei 18. Dumont De Chassart, Adrien is favored with a 53.0% win probability. The spread is 0.15.
Dumont De Chassart, Adrien
-0.10
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • VidantaWorld Mexico Open
Hirata, Kensei
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Dumont De Chassart, AdrienHirata, Kensei
+140
Best Odds
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Hirata, Kensei
111825
Dumont De Chassart, Adrien
344148
Tournament Context
Event
VidantaWorld Mexico Open
Course
Vidanta Vallarta
Field
119 players
Wind
9 mph
Temp
88°F
Conditions
harder (+0.3)
Matchup Analysis
Hirata, Kensei
+0.00 SG
EF 18th
Skill Gap
+0.15 SG/round
tight skill advantage for Hirata, Kensei
Dumont De Chassart, Adrien
-0.10 SG
EF 41th · Below Avg
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded GOLF 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the GOLF 2026 season report card.