Hoey, Rico vs Hoge, Tom prediction for October 23, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Hoge, Tom 47 - Hoey, Rico 68. Hoey, Rico is favored with a 59.8% win probability. The spread is 0.74.
Hoge, Tom
-0.40
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Hoey, Rico
+0.34
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Hoge, TomHoey, Rico
-130
Best Odds
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Hoey, Rico
616875
Hoge, Tom
404754
Tournament Context
Event
Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Course
Port Royal Golf Course
Field
120 players
Wind
30 mph
Temp
76°F
Conditions
harder (+2.5)
Player Profile — Hoey, Rico
Strokes Gained
+0.34/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
good
+0.155 SG adj
Expected Finish
68th / 120
Matchup Analysis
Hoey, Rico
+0.34 SG
EF 68th
Skill Gap
+0.74 SG/round
meaningful skill advantage for Hoey, Rico
Hoge, Tom
-0.40 SG
EF 47th · Below Avg
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded GOLF 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the GOLF 2026 season report card.