Knapp, Jake vs Spieth, Jordan prediction for August 13, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Spieth, Jordan 0 - Knapp, Jake 41. Spieth, Jordan is favored with a 50.4% win probability. Spieth, Jordan wins more simulations despite the lower average score. The spread is 0.33.
Spieth, Jordan
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • FedEx St. Jude Championship
Knapp, Jake
+0.87
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Spieth, JordanKnapp, Jake
+119
Best Odds
Tournament Context
Event
FedEx St. Jude Championship
Course
TPC Southwind
Field
69 players
Wind
10 mph
Temp
101°F
Conditions
harder (+0.5)
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded Golf 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the Golf 2026 season report card.