PGA Tour Golf

Silverman, Ben vs Pavon, Matthieu Prediction

November 7, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Silverman, Ben vs Pavon, Matthieu prediction for November 7, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Pavon, Matthieu 30 - Silverman, Ben 27. Silverman, Ben is favored with a 55.8% win probability. Silverman, Ben wins more simulations despite the lower average score. The spread is 0.06.

Pavon, Matthieu
-0.20
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • World Wide Technology Championship
Silverman, Ben
-0.14
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
44.2%
55.8%
Pavon, MatthieuSilverman, Ben
-105
Best Odds

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

Silverman, Ben
202734
Pavon, Matthieu
233037

Tournament Context

Event
World Wide Technology Championship
Course
El Cardonal at Diamante
Field
120 players
Wind
12 mph
Temp
85°F
Conditions
harder (+0.6)

Player Profile — Silverman, Ben

Strokes Gained
-0.14/round
Below Avg
Course Fit
excellent
+0.328 SG adj
Expected Finish
27th / 120

Matchup Analysis

Silverman, Ben
-0.14 SG
EF 27th
Skill Gap
+0.06 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Pavon, Matthieu
-0.20 SG
EF 30th · Below Avg
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AI Intelligence Analysis

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Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded GOLF 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the GOLF 2026 season report card.

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