Svensson, Jesper vs Schmid, Matti prediction for July 23, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Schmid, Matti 96 - Svensson, Jesper 93. Svensson, Jesper is favored with a 58.2% win probability. The spread is -0.31.
Schmid, Matti
+0.14
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • 3M Open
Svensson, Jesper
-0.16
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Schmid, MattiSvensson, Jesper
+104
Best Odds
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Svensson, Jesper
8693100
Schmid, Matti
8996103
Tournament Context
Event
3M Open
Course
TPC Twin Cities
Field
144 players
Wind
11 mph
Temp
92°F
Conditions
harder (+0.5)
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →