League of Legends

Project Conquerors vs Ancient Ones Prediction

August 15, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Project Conquerors vs Ancient Ones prediction for August 15, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Ancient Ones 0 - Project Conquerors 1. Project Conquerors is favored with a 51.3% win probability. Most likely series score: 1-0 (Best of 1).

Ancient Ones
0
Projected Maps
VS Bo1 • Nexus League
Project Conquerors
1
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
48.7%
51.3%
Ancient OnesProject Conquerors
1-0
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALAncient Ones 0 — Project Conquerors 1
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 52.6% (14,525 games)

Team Profiles

Project Conquerors
Early
63%
Mid
64%
Late
64%
Elo: 1758 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 8-2 (80%)
Ancient Ones
Early
65%
Mid
66%
Late
66%
Elo: 1796 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 7-1 (88%)

Score Distribution

Project Conquerors winsAncient Ones wins
0-1
48.7%
1-0
51.3%

Advantage Breakdown

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Model Advantages
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Key Factors

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Matchup Intelligence
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Market Odds

Project Conquerors
-228
Ancient Ones
+228
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.47

Model Edge & Sizing

🔒The model's edge against the market, and the stake it sizes for this matchup, are premium.Unlock

Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded League of Legends 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the League of Legends 2026 season report card.

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