Colossal Gaming vs Avella SU Esports prediction for September 29, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Avella SU Esports 1 - Colossal Gaming 0. Avella SU Esports is favored with a 75.0% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-1 (Best of 1).
Avella SU Esports
1
Projected Maps
VS
Bo1 • EMEA Masters
Colossal Gaming
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Avella SU EsportsColossal Gaming
0-1
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 72.5% (19,368 games)
Team Profiles
Colossal Gaming
Early
56%
Mid
57%
Late
57%
Elo: 1608 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 4-6 (40%)
Avella SU Esports
Early
57%
Mid
58%
Late
59%
Elo: 1634 · 📈 Scaling · Record: 5-5 (50%)
Score Distribution
Colossal Gaming winsAvella SU Esports wins
0-1
75.0%
1-0
25.0%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.26
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
More Projections Today
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.