Team Phantasma vs Avella SU Esports prediction for September 26, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Avella SU Esports 1 - Team Phantasma 0. Avella SU Esports is favored with a 66.1% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-1 (Best of 1).
Avella SU Esports
1
Projected Maps
VS
Bo1 • EMEA Masters
Team Phantasma
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Avella SU EsportsTeam Phantasma
0-1
Most Likely Score
MEDIUM
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 69.7% (19,269 games)
Projected
Avella SU Esports 1 — Team Phantasma 0
Actual
Avella SU Esports 1 — Team Phantasma 0
Team Profiles
Team Phantasma
Early
63%
Mid
64%
Late
65%
Elo: 1761 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 8-2 (80%)
Avella SU Esports
Early
58%
Mid
59%
Late
60%
Elo: 1669 · 📈 Scaling · Record: 7-3 (70%)
Score Distribution
Team Phantasma winsAvella SU Esports wins
0-1
66.1%
1-0
33.9%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.32
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.