Avella SU Esports vs UCAM Esports Club prediction for September 22, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects UCAM Esports Club 1 - Avella SU Esports 2. UCAM Esports Club is favored with a 50.9% win probability. UCAM Esports Club wins more simulations despite the lower average score. Most likely series score: 2-1 (Best of 3).
UCAM Esports Club
1
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • EMEA Masters
Avella SU Esports
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
UCAM Esports ClubAvella SU Esports
2-1
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 50.4% (19,185 games)
Projected
UCAM Esports Club 1 — Avella SU Esports 2
Actual
UCAM Esports Club 2 — Avella SU Esports 0
Team Profiles
Avella SU Esports
Early
58%
Mid
59%
Late
59%
Elo: 1659 · 📈 Scaling · Record: 8-2 (80%)
UCAM Esports Club
Early
60%
Mid
61%
Late
61%
Elo: 1691 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 4-6 (40%)
Score Distribution
Avella SU Esports winsUCAM Esports Club wins
0-2
25.2%
1-2
25.7%
2-0
23.2%
2-1
25.9%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.29
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.