League of Legends

BOMBA vs Forsaken Prediction

September 19, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

BOMBA vs Forsaken prediction for September 19, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Forsaken 3 - BOMBA 1. Forsaken is favored with a 61.3% win probability. Most likely series score: 1-3 (Best of 5).

Forsaken
3
Projected Maps
VS Bo5 • Unknown
BOMBA
1
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
61.3%
38.7%
ForsakenBOMBA
1-3
Most Likely Score
MEDIUM
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 58.4% (2,848 games)

Team Profiles

BOMBA
Early
50%
Mid
51%
Late
52%
Elo: 1500
Forsaken
Early
68%
Mid
69%
Late
70%
Elo: 1866 · 📈 Scaling · Record: 7-3 (70%)

Score Distribution

BOMBA winsForsaken wins
0-3
18.0%
1-3
24.4%
2-3
18.9%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
12.9%
3-2
19.0%

Advantage Breakdown

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Model Advantages
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Key Factors

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Matchup Intelligence
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Market Odds

BOMBA
-354
Forsaken
+243
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.28

Model Edge & Sizing

🔒The model's edge against the market, and the stake it sizes for this matchup, are premium.Unlock

Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.

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