League of Legends

NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen Prediction

May 30, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen prediction for May 30, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects CITA Kaizen 1 - NightBirds 3. NightBirds is favored with a 70.4% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-1 (Best of 5).

CITA Kaizen
1
Projected Maps
VS Bo5 • Hitpoint Masters
NightBirds
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
29.6%
70.4%
CITA KaizenNightBirds
3-1
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALCITA Kaizen 3 — NightBirds 2
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 56.3% (11,356 games)

Team Profiles

NightBirds
Elo: 1840 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 10-4 (71%)
CITA Kaizen
Elo: 1704 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 10-4 (71%)

Score Distribution

NightBirds winsCITA Kaizen wins
0-3
5.0%
1-3
11.0%
2-3
13.6%
3-0
21.4%
3-1
25.5%
3-2
23.4%

Advantage Breakdown

Player +0.1%Draft -0.1%Context -0.4%

Key Factors

championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.34
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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