Citadel Gaming vs CCG Esports prediction for April 30, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects CCG Esports 2 - Citadel Gaming 0. CCG Esports is favored with a 74.3% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).
CCG Esports
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • NACL
Citadel Gaming
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
CCG EsportsCitadel Gaming
0-2
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 64.0% (6,458 games)
Team Profiles
Citadel Gaming
Early
40%
Mid
36%
Late
30%
Elo: 1226 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 0-5 (0%)
CCG Esports
Early
79%
Mid
64%
Late
72%
Elo: 1775 · 🗡️ Skirmish · Record: 14-0 (100%)
Score Distribution
Citadel Gaming winsCCG Esports wins
0-2
50.2%
1-2
23.6%
2-0
12.2%
2-1
13.9%
Advantage Breakdown
Phase -3.6%Context -1.8%
Key Factors
- CCG Esports holds a significant Elo advantage (548 pts)
- CCG Esports's skirmish style creates a favorable matchup
- CCG Esports is in stronger recent form
Market Odds
Citadel Gaming
+177
Edge: -28.7%
CCG Esports
-256
Edge: +3.3%
🎯 Projection: CCG Esports ML @ -256 · Edge +3.3%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.38
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →