Conviction vs Dorado Gaming prediction for August 26, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Dorado Gaming 1 - Conviction 3. Conviction is favored with a 70.4% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-1 (Best of 5).
Dorado Gaming
1
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • NACL
Conviction
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Dorado GamingConviction
3-1
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 76.1% (17,758 games)
Team Profiles
Conviction
Early
54%
Mid
55%
Late
55%
Elo: 1577 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 3-7 (30%)
Dorado Gaming
Early
51%
Mid
52%
Late
52%
Elo: 1518 · 📈 Scaling · Record: 6-4 (60%)
Score Distribution
Conviction winsDorado Gaming wins
0-3
6.2%
1-3
8.4%
2-3
20.2%
3-0
21.2%
3-1
20.8%
3-2
23.2%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
Conviction
-233
Dorado Gaming
+194
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.28
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.