Dark Passage vs Phoenix prediction for August 6, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Phoenix 1 - Dark Passage 2. Dark Passage is favored with a 50.1% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-1 (Best of 3).
Phoenix
1
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • TCL
Dark Passage
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
PhoenixDark Passage
2-1
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 55.3% (13,530 games)
Team Profiles
Dark Passage
Early
33%
Mid
34%
Late
35%
Elo: 1168 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 1-7 (12%)
Phoenix
Early
50%
Mid
51%
Late
52%
Elo: 1500
Score Distribution
Dark Passage winsPhoenix wins
0-2
24.2%
1-2
25.7%
2-0
23.9%
2-1
26.2%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
Dark Passage
-270
Phoenix
+207
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.78
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded League of Legends 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the League of Legends 2026 season report card.