League of Legends

TLN Pirates vs Esprit Shōnen Prediction

July 30, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

TLN Pirates vs Esprit Shōnen prediction for July 30, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Esprit Shōnen 0 - TLN Pirates 1. TLN Pirates is favored with a 74.5% win probability. Most likely series score: 1-0 (Best of 1).

Esprit Shōnen
0
Projected Maps
VS Bo1 • LFL
TLN Pirates
1
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
25.5%
74.5%
Esprit ShōnenTLN Pirates
1-0
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 74.0% (12,954 games)

Team Profiles

TLN Pirates
Elo: 1624 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 10-8 (56%)
Esprit Shōnen
Elo: 1209 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 0-4 (0%)

Score Distribution

TLN Pirates winsEsprit Shōnen wins
0-1
31.2%
1-0
68.8%

Advantage Breakdown

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Model Advantages
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Key Factors

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Matchup Intelligence
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championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.45

Model Edge & Sizing

🔒The model's edge against the market, and the stake it sizes for this matchup, are premium.Unlock

Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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