TLN Pirates vs Esprit Shonen prediction for July 30, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Esprit Shonen 0 - TLN Pirates 1. TLN Pirates is favored with a 65.0% win probability. Most likely series score: 1-0 (Best of 1).
Esprit Shonen
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo1 • LFL
TLN Pirates
1
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Esprit ShonenTLN Pirates
1-0
Most Likely Score
MEDIUM
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 61.7% (13,334 games)
Projected
Esprit Shonen 0 — TLN Pirates 1
Actual
Esprit Shonen 0 — TLN Pirates 1
Team Profiles
TLN Pirates
Early
54%
Mid
55%
Late
55%
Elo: 1577 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 3-7 (30%)
Esprit Shonen
Elo: 1291 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 4-10 (29%)
Score Distribution
TLN Pirates winsEsprit Shonen wins
0-1
40.7%
1-0
59.3%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
TLN Pirates
-460
Esprit Shonen
+305
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.33
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded League of Legends 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the League of Legends 2026 season report card.