League of Legends

Estral Esports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas Prediction

October 6, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Estral Esports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas prediction for October 6, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas 0 - Estral Esports 3. Estral Esports is favored with a 58.1% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-0 (Best of 5).

KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas
0
Projected Maps
VS Bo5 • CBLOL
Estral Esports
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
41.9%
58.1%
KaBuM! Ilha das LendasEstral Esports
3-0
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas 3 — Estral Esports 2
☑ Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 50.2% (19,607 games)

Team Profiles

Estral Esports
Early
62%
Mid
63%
Late
63%
Elo: 1730 · Record: 9-1 (90%)
KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas
Elo: 1660 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 2-4 (33%)

Score Distribution

Estral Esports winsKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas wins
0-3
13.9%
1-3
16.0%
2-3
12.0%
3-0
24.5%
3-1
18.1%
3-2
15.5%

Advantage Breakdown

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Model Advantages
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Key Factors

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Matchup Intelligence
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Market Odds

Estral Esports
-1011
KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas
+900
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims

Model Edge & Sizing

🔒The model's edge against the market, and the stake it sizes for this matchup, are premium.Unlock

Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.

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