League of Legends

Meavedron vs EXILE esports Prediction

May 17, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Meavedron vs EXILE esports prediction for May 17, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects EXILE esports 1 - Meavedron 2. Meavedron is favored with a 58.5% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-1 (Best of 3).

EXILE esports
1
Projected Maps
VS Bo3 • Hitpoint Masters
Meavedron
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
41.5%
58.5%
EXILE esportsMeavedron
2-1
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALEXILE esports 0 — Meavedron 1
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 44.3% (9,439 games)

Team Profiles

Meavedron
Elo: 1470 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 3-3 (50%)
EXILE esports
Elo: 1419 · ⚔️ Teamfight

Score Distribution

Meavedron winsEXILE esports wins
0-2
19.5%
1-2
22.0%
2-0
29.1%
2-1
29.4%

Advantage Breakdown

Player +0.1%Phase +0.2%Context +0.8%

Key Factors

championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.45
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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