Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI prediction for May 17, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Movistar KOI 1 - Karmine Corp 3. Karmine Corp is favored with a 77.7% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-1 (Best of 5).
Movistar KOI
1
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • EWC EMEA
Karmine Corp
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Movistar KOIKarmine Corp
3-1
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 57.4% (9,439 games)
Team Profiles
Karmine Corp
Early
55%
Mid
57%
Late
62%
Elo: 1754 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 56-17 (77%)
Movistar KOI
Early
50%
Mid
51%
Late
51%
Elo: 1615 · Record: 47-43 (52%)
Score Distribution
Karmine Corp winsMovistar KOI wins
0-3
3.4%
1-3
8.1%
2-3
10.8%
3-0
27.6%
3-1
27.9%
3-2
22.3%
Advantage Breakdown
Player +0.4%Draft +0.2%Phase +2.0%Context +0.8%
Key Factors
- Karmine Corp holds a significant Elo advantage (139 pts)
- Karmine Corp's early_aggro style creates a favorable matchup
- Karmine Corp leads the H2H record 4-1
Market Odds
Karmine Corp
-135
Edge: +35.3%
Movistar KOI
+105
Edge: -54.3%
🎯 Projection: Karmine Corp ML @ -135 · Edge +35.3%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.21
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →