NightBirds vs EXILE esports prediction for September 8, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects EXILE esports 0 - NightBirds 3. NightBirds is favored with a 68.8% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-0 (Best of 5).
EXILE esports
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • Hitpoint Masters
NightBirds
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
EXILE esportsNightBirds
3-0
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 66.3% (2,766 games)
Team Profiles
NightBirds
Early
68%
Mid
69%
Late
70%
Elo: 1868 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 8-2 (80%)
EXILE esports
Early
58%
Mid
59%
Late
59%
Elo: 1651 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 4-6 (40%)
Score Distribution
NightBirds winsEXILE esports wins
0-3
3.7%
1-3
11.9%
2-3
15.6%
3-0
28.5%
3-1
24.4%
3-2
15.9%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
NightBirds
-809
EXILE esports
+669
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.42
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
More Projections Today
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.