League of Legends

EXILE esports vs Onion Team Prediction

September 4, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

EXILE esports vs Onion Team prediction for September 4, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Onion Team 0 - EXILE esports 2. EXILE esports is favored with a 75.0% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).

Onion Team
0
Projected Maps
VS Bo3 • EMEA
EXILE esports
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
25.0%
75.0%
Onion TeamEXILE esports
2-0
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 74.4% (18,803 games)
FINALOnion Team 0 — EXILE esports 0
Projected
Onion Team 0 — EXILE esports 2
Actual
Onion Team 0 — EXILE esports 0

Team Profiles

EXILE esports
Early
57%
Mid
58%
Late
59%
Elo: 1644 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 4-6 (40%)
Onion Team
Early
30%
Mid
31%
Late
32%
Elo: 995 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 1-9 (10%)

Score Distribution

EXILE esports winsOnion Team wins
0-2
10.2%
1-2
14.8%
2-0
48.4%
2-1
26.6%

Advantage Breakdown

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Model Advantages
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Key Factors

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Matchup Intelligence
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Market Odds

EXILE esports
-104
Onion Team
+100
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.58

Model Edge & Sizing

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Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.

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