League of Legends

FlyQuest vs LYON Prediction

May 17, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

FlyQuest vs LYON prediction for May 17, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects LYON 2 - FlyQuest 0. LYON is favored with a 73.5% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).

LYON
2
Projected Maps
VS Bo3 • LCS
FlyQuest
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
73.5%
26.5%
LYONFlyQuest
0-2
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALLYON 1 — FlyQuest 2
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 55.3% (9,439 games)

Team Profiles

FlyQuest
Early
43%
Mid
54%
Late
56%
Elo: 1496 · Record: 36-20 (64%)
LYON
Early
57%
Mid
50%
Late
50%
Elo: 1665 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 24-23 (51%)

Score Distribution

FlyQuest winsLYON wins
0-2
43.1%
1-2
30.5%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
16.0%

Advantage Breakdown

Player +0.7%Phase -1.1%

Key Factors

Market Odds

FlyQuest
+175
Edge: -27.2%
LYON
-230
Edge: +5.5%
🎯 Projection: LYON ML @ -230 · Edge +5.5%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.24
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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