Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest prediction for October 5, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects FlyQuest 2 - Natus Vincere 0. FlyQuest is favored with a 65.5% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).
FlyQuest
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • Demacia Cup Global Invitational
Natus Vincere
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
FlyQuestNatus Vincere
0-2
Most Likely Score
MEDIUM
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 65.4% (3,053 games)
Team Profiles
Natus Vincere
Early
46%
Mid
47%
Late
48%
Elo: 1420 · 📈 Scaling · Record: 5-5 (50%)
FlyQuest
Early
52%
Mid
53%
Late
54%
Elo: 1543 · Record: 4-6 (40%)
Score Distribution
Natus Vincere winsFlyQuest wins
0-2
43.6%
1-2
21.9%
2-0
17.3%
2-1
17.1%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
Natus Vincere
-144
FlyQuest
+138
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
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Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.