League of Legends

Team Liquid vs FlyQuest Prediction

September 20, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Team Liquid vs FlyQuest prediction for September 20, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects FlyQuest 3 - Team Liquid 1. FlyQuest is favored with a 51.5% win probability. Most likely series score: 1-3 (Best of 5).

FlyQuest
3
Projected Maps
VS Bo5 • LCS
Team Liquid
1
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
51.5%
48.5%
FlyQuestTeam Liquid
1-3
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 50.0% (19,065 games)

Team Profiles

Team Liquid
Early
54%
Mid
55%
Late
55%
Elo: 1572 · Record: 8-2 (80%)
FlyQuest
Early
54%
Mid
55%
Late
56%
Elo: 1586 · Record: 5-5 (50%)

Score Distribution

Team Liquid winsFlyQuest wins
0-3
10.7%
1-3
21.6%
2-3
19.2%
3-0
11.4%
3-1
16.8%
3-2
20.3%

Advantage Breakdown

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Model Advantages
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Key Factors

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Matchup Intelligence
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Market Odds

Team Liquid
-317
FlyQuest
+320
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.20

Model Edge & Sizing

🔒The model's edge against the market, and the stake it sizes for this matchup, are premium.Unlock

Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.

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