League of Legends

Team Vitality vs Fnatic Prediction

August 28, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Team Vitality vs Fnatic prediction for August 28, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Fnatic 0 - Team Vitality 2. Team Vitality is favored with a 78.8% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).

Fnatic
0
Projected Maps
VS Bo3 • LEC
Team Vitality
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
21.2%
78.8%
FnaticTeam Vitality
2-0
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALFnatic 1 — Team Vitality 2
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 76.8% (2,643 games)

Team Profiles

Team Vitality
Early
52%
Mid
53%
Late
53%
Elo: 1532 · 📈 Scaling · Record: 6-4 (60%)
Fnatic
Early
45%
Mid
46%
Late
47%
Elo: 1406 · Record: 4-6 (40%)

Score Distribution

Team Vitality winsFnatic wins
0-2
9.1%
1-2
12.1%
2-0
46.4%
2-1
32.4%

Advantage Breakdown

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Model Advantages
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Key Factors

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Matchup Intelligence
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Market Odds

Team Vitality
-144
Fnatic
+150
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.22

Model Edge & Sizing

🔒The model's edge against the market, and the stake it sizes for this matchup, are premium.Unlock

Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.

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