FURIA vs MVK Esports prediction for October 15, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects MVK Esports 0 - FURIA 3. FURIA is favored with a 77.0% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-0 (Best of 5).
MVK Esports
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • Worlds
FURIA
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
MVK EsportsFURIA
3-0
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 71.8% (19,703 games)
Team Profiles
FURIA
Early
49%
Mid
50%
Late
50%
Elo: 1480 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 8-2 (80%)
MVK Esports
Early
51%
Mid
52%
Late
52%
Elo: 1518 · 📈 Scaling · Record: 5-5 (50%)
Score Distribution
FURIA winsMVK Esports wins
0-3
9.5%
1-3
7.9%
2-3
5.6%
3-0
30.4%
3-1
25.5%
3-2
21.1%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
FURIA
-317
MVK Esports
+322
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.29
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
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Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.