League of Legends

FURIA Esports vs Red Canids Prediction

September 26, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

FURIA Esports vs Red Canids prediction for September 26, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Red Canids 0 - FURIA Esports 2. FURIA Esports is favored with a 59.0% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).

Red Canids
0
Projected Maps
VS Bo3 • Unknown
FURIA Esports
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
41.0%
59.0%
Red CanidsFURIA Esports
2-0
Most Likely Score
MEDIUM
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
☑ Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 51.5% (19,269 games)
FINALRed Canids 2 — FURIA Esports 3
Projected
Red Canids 0 — FURIA Esports 2
Actual
Red Canids 2 — FURIA Esports 3

Team Profiles

FURIA Esports
Early
48%
Mid
49%
Late
50%
Elo: 1470 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 7-3 (70%)
Red Canids
Early
45%
Mid
46%
Late
47%
Elo: 1402 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 4-6 (40%)

Score Distribution

FURIA Esports winsRed Canids wins
0-2
18.2%
1-2
22.8%
2-0
32.0%
2-1
27.0%

Advantage Breakdown

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Model Advantages
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Key Factors

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Matchup Intelligence
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Market Odds

FURIA Esports
-120
Red Canids
+127
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.20

Model Edge & Sizing

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Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.

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