Ground Zero vs MVK Esports prediction for May 2, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects MVK Esports 3 - Ground Zero 1. MVK Esports is favored with a 72.4% win probability. Most likely series score: 1-3 (Best of 5).
MVK Esports
3
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • Unknown
Ground Zero
1
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
MVK EsportsGround Zero
1-3
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 59.7% (6,921 games)
Team Profiles
Ground Zero
Early
60%
Mid
50%
Late
50%
Elo: 1425 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 5-5 (50%)
MVK Esports
Early
57%
Mid
44%
Late
40%
Elo: 1499 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 2-5 (29%)
Score Distribution
Ground Zero winsMVK Esports wins
0-3
22.6%
1-3
28.6%
2-3
21.2%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
9.3%
3-2
13.4%
Advantage Breakdown
Player -0.3%Draft -0.1%Phase +0.2%Context -0.4%
Key Factors
- MVK Esports has a moderate rating edge (74 Elo)
Market Odds
Ground Zero
+400
Edge: +38.0%
MVK Esports
-650
Edge: -16.5%
🎯 Projection: Ground Zero ML @ +400 · Edge +38.0%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.27
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →