League of Legends

LYON vs Karmine Corp Prediction

October 24, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

LYON vs Karmine Corp prediction for October 24, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Karmine Corp 1 - LYON 0. Karmine Corp is favored with a 55.9% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-1 (Best of 1).

Karmine Corp
1
Projected Maps
VS Bo1 • Worlds
LYON
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
55.9%
44.1%
Karmine CorpLYON
0-1
Most Likely Score
MEDIUM
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
☑ Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 49.8% (19,736 games)
FINALKarmine Corp 0 — LYON 1
Projected
Karmine Corp 1 — LYON 0
Actual
Karmine Corp 0 — LYON 1

Team Profiles

LYON
Early
55%
Mid
56%
Late
56%
Elo: 1600 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 7-3 (70%)
Karmine Corp
Early
61%
Mid
62%
Late
63%
Elo: 1725 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 8-2 (80%)

Score Distribution

LYON winsKarmine Corp wins
0-1
55.9%
1-0
44.1%

Advantage Breakdown

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Model Advantages
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Key Factors

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Matchup Intelligence
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Market Odds

LYON
+122
Karmine Corp
-127
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.20

Model Edge & Sizing

🔒The model's edge against the market, and the stake it sizes for this matchup, are premium.Unlock

Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.

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