LOUD vs paiN Gaming prediction for September 13, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects paiN Gaming 2 - LOUD 3. LOUD is favored with a 52.7% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-2 (Best of 5).
paiN Gaming
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • CBLOL
LOUD
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
paiN GamingLOUD
3-2
Most Likely Score
MEDIUM
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 55.4% (2,809 games)
Team Profiles
LOUD
Early
43%
Mid
44%
Late
44%
Elo: 1352 · Record: 7-3 (70%)
paiN Gaming
Early
40%
Mid
41%
Late
42%
Elo: 1304 · Record: 3-7 (30%)
Score Distribution
LOUD winspaiN Gaming wins
0-3
8.8%
1-3
19.9%
2-3
18.6%
3-0
14.2%
3-1
17.9%
3-2
20.6%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
LOUD
-355
paiN Gaming
+355
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.20
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
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Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.