League of Legends

LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars Prediction

May 3, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars prediction for May 3, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Vivo Keyd Stars 2 - LOUD 0. Vivo Keyd Stars is favored with a 53.0% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).

Vivo Keyd Stars
2
Projected Maps
VS Bo3 • CBLOL
LOUD
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
53.0%
47.0%
Vivo Keyd StarsLOUD
0-2
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALVivo Keyd Stars 0 — LOUD 2
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 46.4% (7,109 games)

Team Profiles

LOUD
Early
47%
Mid
44%
Late
40%
Elo: 1453 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 20-55 (27%)
Vivo Keyd Stars
Early
46%
Mid
53%
Late
54%
Elo: 1452 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 31-21 (60%)

Score Distribution

LOUD winsVivo Keyd Stars wins
0-2
27.1%
1-2
25.9%
2-0
21.8%
2-1
25.2%

Advantage Breakdown

Player +0.3%Draft -0.2%Phase -0.5%Context -1.1%

Key Factors

Market Odds

LOUD
+120
Edge: +3.5%
Vivo Keyd Stars
-155
Edge: -12.8%
🎯 Projection: LOUD ML @ +120 · Edge +3.5%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.21
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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