League of Legends

LUA Gaming vs Heretics Academy Prediction

July 29, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

LUA Gaming vs Heretics Academy prediction for July 29, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Heretics Academy 2 - LUA Gaming 0. Heretics Academy is favored with a 84.0% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).

Heretics Academy
2
Projected Maps
VS Bo3 • LES
LUA Gaming
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
84.0%
16.0%
Heretics AcademyLUA Gaming
0-2
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 81.5% (12,954 games)
FINALHeretics Academy 1 — LUA Gaming 0
Projected
Heretics Academy 2 — LUA Gaming 0
Actual
Heretics Academy 1 — LUA Gaming 0

Team Profiles

LUA Gaming
Elo: 1342 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 4-7 (36%)
Heretics Academy
Elo: 1831 · 🗡️ Skirmish · Record: 10-3 (77%)

Score Distribution

LUA Gaming winsHeretics Academy wins
0-2
55.0%
1-2
29.0%
2-0
6.0%
2-1
9.9%

Advantage Breakdown

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Model Advantages
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Key Factors

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Matchup Intelligence
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championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.37

Model Edge & Sizing

🔒The model's edge against the market, and the stake it sizes for this matchup, are premium.Unlock

Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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