SDM Tigres vs LYON Academy prediction for May 11, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects LYON Academy 0 - SDM Tigres 3. SDM Tigres is favored with a 86.6% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-0 (Best of 5).
LYON Academy
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • LRN
SDM Tigres
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
LYON AcademySDM Tigres
3-0
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 81.6% (8,460 games)
Team Profiles
SDM Tigres
Early
42%
Mid
51%
Late
51%
Elo: 1730 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 10-9 (53%)
LYON Academy
Early
72%
Mid
48%
Late
48%
Elo: 1340 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 8-10 (44%)
Score Distribution
SDM Tigres winsLYON Academy wins
0-3
1.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-3
6.9%
3-0
35.4%
3-1
31.3%
3-2
19.9%
Advantage Breakdown
Draft -0.2%Phase +1.8%Context +1.6%
Key Factors
- SDM Tigres holds a significant Elo advantage (390 pts)
- SDM Tigres is in stronger recent form
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.43
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →