LYON vs Sentinels prediction for May 3, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Sentinels 1 - LYON 2. LYON is favored with a 57.4% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-1 (Best of 3).
Sentinels
1
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LCS
LYON
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
SentinelsLYON
2-1
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 49.1% (7,109 games)
Team Profiles
LYON
Early
57%
Mid
50%
Late
50%
Elo: 1619 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 24-23 (51%)
Sentinels
Early
47%
Mid
44%
Late
41%
Elo: 1564 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 5-12 (29%)
Score Distribution
LYON winsSentinels wins
0-2
20.2%
1-2
22.4%
2-0
28.4%
2-1
29.0%
Advantage Breakdown
Player +0.2%Draft -0.4%Phase +0.3%Context -0.2%
Key Factors
- LYON has a moderate rating edge (54 Elo)
Market Odds
LYON
-200
Edge: -13.8%
Sentinels
+150
Edge: +6.4%
🎯 Projection: Sentinels ML @ +150 · Edge +6.4%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.21
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →